[CAMWEST-discuss] ABC Cataiyst program on "Oil Depletion" ThursdayNov 24 8:00pm
Doug & Nina Bathersby
dbathers at bigpond.net.au
Fri Nov 25 03:14:54 UTC 2005
I saw the program and the forecast is much what you have been
saying. Pretty scary stuff.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Danny Hannan" <danny_hannan at yahoo.com>
To: <LBUG at yahoogroups.com.au>; <camwest-discuss at nicku.org>
Sent: Friday, November 25, 2005 11:22 AM
Subject: [CAMWEST-discuss] ABC Cataiyst program on "Oil Depletion"
ThursdayNov 24 8:00pm
> If you missed the ABC Catalyst program on Thursday
> evening Nov 24 about Oil Depletion, I suggest you get
> a copy.
> Why oil?
> Over 50% of the world's final energy (energy sold to
> consumers) comes from oil, if we include natural gas
> as a petroleum, 62% of the world's primary energy
> (total energy produced) comes from petroleum and 90%
> comes from fossil fuels (BP 2005).
> Oil is a clean burning fuel and the easiest and
> cheapest (in both economic and energy terms) to
> produce, refine, and transport and contains more
> energy per litre and per kilogram than any comparable
> Oil is not replaceable for the modern industries of;
> transport, petro-chemicals/plastics, and agriculture.
> Many if not most petroleum geologists working in the
> petroleum industry are of the opinion that we have
> already passed the natural peak of oil production. It
> is only the modern secondary and tertiary extraction
> techniques of high-pressure water and gas injection
> and horizontal drilling that is maintaining production
> levels. Citigroup (Citibank parent organisation) has
> published research that indicates the natural peak was
> in 1998.
> The modern extraction techniques do not make more oil
> available but simply extract what oil is there at a
> faster rate. The North Sea oil deposits are a classic
> example. They peaked (1999) five years earlier than
> predicted (2003-4) and oil production is declining at
> (8-10%pa) about twice the predicted rate of 3-4%pa,
> current production is now half what it was.
> We can only extract the oil that is left at an even
> faster rate only delaying the inevitable supply crunch
> but in so doing, making the crunch the more
> precipitous the longer it is delayed.
> Many petroleum geologists are convinced that the
> crunch is just a few years away. Best guesses are
> saying 2008 but by 2010.
> The USA has such high import rates that both it's
> budget and trade deficits are growing at alarming
> rates and this is on top of very high (record)
> personal and corporate debt levels. A major
> correction if not a collapse is almost inevitable and
> For energy-economic and engineering reasons alternate
> and renewable energy including nuclear and hydro have
> a maximum potential of replacing only 20% of the
> energy we currently use. To maintain our current life
> style well into the future, that means a maximum of
> 20% of the current world population with the same
> distribution of wealth as now.
> --- Robert Moore <fractalbug at yahoo.com.au> wrote:
>> Speaking to Vera Zaccari from the Council just now,
>> she needs more people for the Bike Plan Workshop on
>> Saturday, so if you were thinking of going but
>> got around to RSVPing to the Council, or if you have
>> spare hour or two please come along - it really is
>> chance to get involved in the Bike Strategy.
>> Participants will be asked what kind of bike
>> facilities they want, where the problems are, and
>> sort of campaigns and projects Council should be
>> running to encourage cycling and improve
>> driver/community attitudes.
>> So if you want a bike rack outside your favourite
>> or a bike lane on the way to work, or lower speed
>> limits or more traffic calming or whatever, now is
>> --- heather halloran <al_paca2003 at yahoo.com> wrote:
>> > From: "Zaccari, Vera" <VeraZ at lmc.nsw.gov.au>
>> > > <<Workshop Advert_A.pdf>>
>> > > Thank you for showing interet in Council's
>> > development of the new
>> > > Bicycle Strategy. I write to inform you about
>> > another chance to have
>> > > input.
>> > >
>> > > WORKSHOP
>> > > THIS SATURDAY
>> > > 26 November 2005
>> > From 2pm - 5pm
>> > > LEICHHARDT COUNCIL CHAMBERS
>> > First Floor, Leichhardt Town Hall
>> > Corner of Norton & Marion Streets
>> > > RSVP by email to veraz at lmc.nsw.gov.au or call
>> 9367 9223
>> > >
>> > > PLEASE PASS TO YOUR NETWORKS OF CYCLISTS AND NON
>> > CYCLISTS IN THE
>> > > LEICHHARDT COUNCIL AREA.
>> > >
>> > > Many thanks
>> > >
>> > > Vera Zaccari
>> > > Project Manager
>> Do you Yahoo!?
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> danny_hannan at yahoo.com
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